Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.073381 0.082168 0.091213 0.101191 0.111865 0.122915 0.135192
2025-02-16 0.055910 0.068586 0.082385 0.098394 0.116332 0.135695 0.158056
2025-02-23 0.047879 0.063519 0.081357 0.102896 0.127898 0.155720 0.188740
2025-03-02 0.041784 0.059510 0.080579 0.106896 0.138338 0.174187 0.217636
2025-03-09 0.034241 0.052600 0.075377 0.104809 0.140971 0.183153 0.235283
2025-03-16 0.027821 0.046197 0.069997 0.101776 0.141854 0.189592 0.249619
2025-03-23 0.025210 0.044479 0.070268 0.105540 0.150870 0.205657 0.275383
2025-03-30 0.022512 0.042269 0.069593 0.107856 0.157918 0.219265 0.298211
2025-04-06 0.020569 0.040893 0.069849 0.111241 0.166239 0.234425 0.322994
2025-04-13 0.017895 0.038068 0.067811 0.111329 0.170147 0.244002 0.340902
2025-04-20 0.017515 0.038806 0.070841 0.118345 0.183176 0.265163 0.373336
2025-04-27 0.015269 0.036208 0.068779 0.118131 0.186520 0.273978 0.390372
2025-05-04 0.013598 0.034498 0.068077 0.120002 0.192990 0.287286 0.413772
2025-05-11 0.011517 0.031787 0.065658 0.119311 0.195979 0.296194 0.431822
2025-05-18 0.011031 0.031993 0.067823 0.125353 0.208312 0.317448 0.465862
2025-05-25 0.010369 0.031761 0.069230 0.130259 0.219110 0.336775 0.497590
2025-06-01 0.008552 0.028876 0.066020 0.128009 0.219707 0.342482 0.511659
2025-06-08 0.006822 0.025807 0.062210 0.124592 0.218452 0.345579 0.522249
2025-06-15 0.006387 0.025615 0.063371 0.128909 0.228318 0.363695 0.552582
2025-06-22 0.005775 0.024883 0.063500 0.131557 0.235768 0.378583 0.578767
2025-06-29 0.005365 0.024590 0.064392 0.135416 0.245013 0.395976 0.608365
2025-07-06 0.004580 0.023139 0.063013 0.135517 0.248684 0.405741 0.627902
2025-07-13 0.004681 0.024173 0.066400 0.143496 0.264127 0.431813 0.669285